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Old 04-20-2008, 02:19 PM
Naamplao Naamplao is offline
Junior Trader
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Alberta, Canada
Posts: 110
Default Tsx CLL.TO Thread

Question: Who has the second largest Oil reserves in the world after Saudi Arabia?
Ans: Not Venezuela, not Iraq, not Iran, ...... Canada!!!

From a comprehensive article on Wickopedia Athabasca Oil Sands - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Quote:
The Alberta government currently estimates that about 173 billion barrels (27,500,000,000 m³) of crude bitumen are economically recoverable from the three Alberta oil sands areas at current prices using current technology. This is equivalent to about 10% of the estimated 1,700 billion barrels (270,000,000,000 m³) of bitumen-in-place.[7] Alberta estimates that the Athabasca deposits alone contain 35 billion barrels (5,600,000,000 m³) of surface mineable bitumen and 98 billion barrels (15,600,000,000 m³) of bitumen recoverable by in-situ methods. These estimates of Canada's oil reserves were doubted when they were first published, but are now largely accepted by the international oil industry. This volume places Canadian proven oil reserves second in the world behind those of Saudi Arabia.
Question: Who has the safest most secure supply of oil for the USA? Answer: Canada!

Ha....but some might say there is more interest in fighting for oil than investing in it (a mild political comment...sorry)

The Tar Sands in Canada has several zones The Athabasca, Peace River and Cold Lake areas...the richest are in the Athabasca area.

Most of the larger oil companies in Canada have operations there: PetroCanada, Suncor, Syncrude, Encana Energy with share prices in the $50-$80 range....too rich for me.

I like two oil companies of all the junior Oil companies who are players in Canada's Tar Sand development: Connacher Oil and Gas (CLL.TO) and UTS Energy Corp (UTS.TO)

This thread will be about Connacher Oil and Gas. I will do another thread on UTS Energy soon.

Connacher Oil and Gas introduction

Here is a brief description of the company

Quote:
Connacher Oil and Gas Limited is a Calgary-based Canadian oil and natural gas exploration, development and production company. The company's principal assets are its significant bitumen reserves and resources and its 100 percent interest in approximately 95,000 acres of oil sands leases in the Great Divide region near Fort McMurray, Alberta. It also owns conventional production and reserves at Marten Creek and Three Hills, Alberta and at Battrum, Saskatchewan. Connacher owns and operates a 9,500 barrel per day refinery in Great Falls, Montana and maintains a valuable 26 percent equity stake in Petrolifera Petroleum Limited (PDP - TSX), a public company active in Argentina, Colombia and Peru in South America.
This link details its oil reserves as of 2007: Connacher reports significant increases in reserves and 10% pre-tax present value during 2007: Financial News - Yahoo! Finance

TA of Connacher O&G

Here is the line chart from Yahoo Finance



The chart is looking good. I believe this to be a response to the success of their Great Divide Pod One steam-assisted gravity drainage ("SAGD") project in Alberta's oil sands region.
Connacher Oil and Gas Limited breaks through 7,000 barrels per day of daily bitumen production at Great Divide Pod One; Corporate production surpasses 10,600 boe/d: Financial News - Yahoo! Finance

The share price is rising well tagging the upper Bollinger Band. The RSI is strong (slightly overbought) and the MACD is strong as well. The 50dayMA is arching up so there should be a bullish crossing of the 50dayMA over the 200dayMA in the coming weeks.

Looking at the SharpChart the Accum/DIST is very positive along with the TRIX(15,9) All of this is very bullish.

A longer P&F view is very revealing



As can be seen, the stock price has broken through a resistance point at $3.75. It is uncertain where the support level will be right now but I see it rising to a real major resistance at $4.50...this is a major point to pass. If we pass this then it is pretty well clear sailing until $5.30.....then $5.90....then who knows where.

I would not expect the $4.50 mark to be easy to clear though.

Here is the short term 5 day line chart from Yahoo



This is a great chart to start off next week. Note the narrowing of the BB's and the fact that the share price is in the upper half of the BB.

I believe there will be a pleasant jump in price next week....perhaps even enough of a jump to challenge the $4.50 resistance ....(though I doubt it will breach it....yet)
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I am not a broker....just a chartist that retired 4 years ago and invests in the stockmarket. Do your own DD and accept or reject my observations as you wish.

Last edited by Naamplao : 04-20-2008 at 02:22 PM.
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